ECI Report

Live Tracker

Live Cycle Tracker

Real-time AI analysis of current U.S. economic data, plotted daily on the business cycle graph — showing exactly where bonds and stocks are relative to each other.

How this works: Each day, AI analyzes GDP growth, Federal Funds Rate, CPI, ISM Manufacturing, yield curve (10Y-2Y), unemployment trend, and corporate earnings to determine the current position in the 365-day business cycle. The position is plotted on the same bond/stock/business cycle chart from academic research.

Live Cycle Position

AI-powered daily positioning on the Bond/Stock/Business Cycle

Analyzing current economic conditions...
EXPANSIONCONTRACTIONS1S2S3S4S5S6Bonds BottomStocks BottomBonds PeakStocks Peak
Business Cycle
Bonds
Stocks
Today's Position